Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.207925 0.241865 0.279670 0.324920 0.377637 0.437155 0.509506
2025-02-16 0.154306 0.199160 0.254585 0.328197 0.423566 0.543190 0.705031
2025-02-23 0.124056 0.171944 0.235485 0.326147 0.452547 0.623083 0.871625
2025-03-02 0.101432 0.148933 0.215703 0.316685 0.466133 0.680116 1.011549
2025-03-09 0.089877 0.138746 0.210969 0.325882 0.505042 0.775250 1.216697
2025-03-16 0.078956 0.127433 0.202340 0.327034 0.530695 0.852452 1.403832
2025-03-23 0.071215 0.119701 0.197732 0.333106 0.563826 0.944185 1.625229
2025-03-30 0.062517 0.109060 0.186805 0.326897 0.575178 1.000829 1.794421
2025-04-06 0.055796 0.100772 0.178564 0.323808 0.590830 1.065742 1.985487
2025-04-13 0.050706 0.094630 0.173139 0.324728 0.613253 1.144589 2.211414
2025-04-20 0.048198 0.092824 0.175148 0.339319 0.662410 1.277707 2.556907
2025-04-27 0.045615 0.090514 0.175865 0.351387 0.707989 1.409188 2.916296
2025-05-04 0.042741 0.087374 0.174793 0.360173 0.748968 1.538327 3.292391
2025-05-11 0.039539 0.083188 0.171191 0.363440 0.779266 1.650135 3.649019
2025-05-18 0.036167 0.078209 0.165343 0.361172 0.797402 1.738540 3.966740
2025-05-25 0.032453 0.072031 0.156239 0.350675 0.796134 1.784789 4.195849
2025-06-01 0.030877 0.070332 0.156498 0.360877 0.842394 1.941687 4.703010
2025-06-08 0.028750 0.067127 0.153049 0.362155 0.868162 2.055011 5.121940
2025-06-15 0.027220 0.065105 0.152011 0.368891 0.907613 2.205056 5.652147
2025-06-22 0.024921 0.060984 0.145640 0.362003 0.912966 2.273690 5.985754
2025-06-29 0.023065 0.057717 0.140917 0.358576 0.926496 2.364105 6.388967
2025-07-06 0.021639 0.055349 0.138097 0.359597 0.951538 2.486755 6.896148
2025-07-13 0.021147 0.055296 0.141004 0.375784 1.018514 2.726698 7.760976